Although three second-round series have already begun, the fourth and final conference semifinal game starts on Tuesday night in San Francisco. In the opening round of a best-of-seven series, the Golden State Warriors will host the Los Angeles Lakers at Chase Center.
The Warriors won 44 games this season, bettering their record to 67-23, good enough for home-court advantage and a series victory in seven games over the Sacramento Kings. The Lakers revamped their lineup in the middle of the season and shocked the No. 2-seeded Memphis Grizzlies in the first round of the 2023 NBA playoffs.
According to Caesars Sportsbook, there will be a 10 p.m. ET tipoff, and the Warriors are 4.5-point home favorites. In the latest Lakers vs. Warriors odds, the over/under for total points scored is 227. NBA picks and betting recommendations from their tried and true computer model before committing to any Warriors vs. Laker’s matchup choices.
After simulating every NBA game 10,000 times, the SportsLine Projection Model has generated over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the previous four and a half seasons. Through the conference semifinals of the 2023 NBA playoffs, the model had gone an incredible 71-38 on all top-rated NBA picks for a return of over $2,800. Anyone who has followed its advice has reaped enormous financial rewards.
The algorithm has recently focused on the matchup between the Lakers and the Warriors and has made its final selections and NBA playoff predictions. Now is the time to visit SportsLine to review the model’s recommendations. NBA odds and betting lines for Warriors vs. Lakers are as follows:
- Lakers vs. Warriors spread: Warriors -4.5
- Lakers vs. Warriors over/under: 227 points
- Lakers vs. Warriors money line: Warriors -190, Lakers +158
- LAL: The Lakers are 20-23-1 against the spread in road games
- GSW: The Warriors are 28-15-1 against the spread in home games
- Lakers vs. Warriors picks: See picks at SportsLine
This is Why the Lakers Can Cover the Spread
The Lakers’ stellar defense helped them advance past the first round, where they allowed only 1.03 points per possession to the Memphis Grizzlies. The Lakers finished in the top five of the NBA in defensive efficiency after the All-Star break, and Los Angeles blocked more shots (9.2 per game) than any team in the first round of the playoffs.
The Lakers, led by Darvin Ham, also have significant offensive credentials, scoring 17.3 points per game on second chances and grabbing 30.4% of available offensive rebounds against Memphis.
The Lakers had two all-stars in James and Davis, scoring 19.2 fast break points per game in the series. Los Angeles led the NBA in free throw attempts (26.6 per game) and ranked in the top 10 in points in the paint, fast break points, and field goal % throughout the 82-game schedule.
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How Are the Warriors Able to Hide
The Warriors’ defense was outstanding against the Kings, despite all the focus being on Stephen Curry and the offense. The Warriors averaged 8.9 steals per game and allowed only 48.3 points per game in the paint while limiting the NBA’s best offense to 109.3 points per 100 possessions in the series. The Lakers shot just 34.6% from outside the arc in 2022-23, while the Warriors had better-than-average defensive measures against the three-point shot and in forcing turnovers against their opponents.
With Andrew Wiggins back for the playoffs, the Warriors are a formidable defensive force, thanks to the leadership of Draymond Green and Kevon Looney. Conversely, the tandem of Curry and Klay Thompson is a nightmare for opposition defenders, as the Warriors lead the NBA in assists per game, assist percentage, and 3-pointers per game this season.
Thompson finished first in the NBA in 3-pointers made, and Curry showed his tremendous potential by scoring 50 points in Game 7 against the Kings.
Predictions For the Warriors and Lakers
The computer predicts a total score of 228 points for the game. The model also predicts that more than half of the time, one team will score.
